GEM Gas Pipelines Report 2022 Methodology

From Global Energy Monitor

Pipe Dreams 2022: data sources

All data and figures for Pipe Dreams 2022 are based on a January 2022 version of Global Energy Monitor's Global Gas Infrastructure Tracker (GGIT). See the GGIT download page for access to these data.

GGIT's January 2022 pipelines database contains a total of 3,255 pipeline projects, including new pipeline km and existing pipeline capacity expansions. Of projects that are proposed or in construction, 511 have non-zero length (meaning they are not capacity or directionality expansions).

Pipe Dreams 2022: methodology

The methodology for gas pipeline research can be found in the GGIT Methodology page. See an archived version from February 2022 at the time of the report's release.

Pipeline length calculations

Throughout the report, pipeline kilometers (km) are presented within countries and regions. These length calculations are done as follows:

  • When the actual length of a pipeline is found in research, this is recorded and prioritized as the length used in calculations/analysis.
  • When a pipeline's length is not available, we estimate it by calculating the length of the line of coordinates on the world map, using Python GIS packages.
    • Pipeline routes are added to the GEM database by either (1) tracing them directly from a map, when found in research, or (2) approximating the route as a low-resolution (typically straight or near-straight) line, with appropriate start and end points.
    • Given limited resources and route map availability, route maps vary in their accuracy. Route mapping priority is given to projects that are in development (Proposed, Construction) and over 100 km in length.
  • If a pipeline crosses a national boundary, we are typically not able to find the pipeline km within each country. To estimate within-country pipeline km, we therefore use the route map in our database to estimate the pipeline's fraction within a given country, and multiply this by either the known length (prioritized when available) or the estimated length.
  • For offshore routes, countries were determined using exclusive economic zones (EEZs) from Marine Regions.

Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1. Kilometers of pipeline in the proposed, construction, shelved, and cancelled stages, showing the top 20 countries ranked by km of in-development (Proposed and Construction) pipeline.


Figure 1 was produced by calculating the length of gas pipelines in each country, as detailed in Pipeline length calculations above. These estimates were done separately for every pipeline in our database and later summed; status categories left out of this were: Idle, Mothballed, Retired.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Left, km of operating gas pipelines built globally, from 2008 to present, summed according to the year they became operational. Right, km of possible future proposed, in-construction, and shelved pipelines globally.


The left-hand side of Figure 2 was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Estimated capital expenditures for in-development pipelines (third column in Table 1).

Figure 3 was produced in two steps.

Region Cost per km (US$) Number of data points
Australia and New Zealand 1,271,295 11
East Asia 1,693,736 60
Eurasia 3,878,476 18
Europe 2,980,665 83
Latin America and the Caribbean 2,798,030 24
Middle East and North Africa 2,558,775 15
North America 5,130,381 133
SE Asia 2,134,476 9
South Asia 1,147,718 19
Sub-Saharan Africa 3,860,864 6

Table M1. Regional cost estimates in US$ per km of gas pipeline. The number of pipeline project estimates going into each regional estimate is included in the third column. Note that GEM's Pipeline Bubble 2021, used a value of US$5.04 million per km of pipeline applied globally. However, this estimate was based largely on North American pipeline construction estimates and potentially overlooks the cheaper cost of construction in some regions, including Asian and Eurasian countries. We therefore calculate region-specific cost estimates to project total costs of pipelines that are proposed or in construction.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Regional total km of pipeline proposed (darker colors) and in construction (lighter colors) worldwide, rounded to the nearest hundred km. Percents of global in-development pipeline km are labelled. See Table 2 for more information.


Figure 4 shows km of pipeline in development across regions, as presented in Table 2.

Figure 5

Figure 5. (a) Proposed (yellow) and in-construction (red) pipelines with routes that are located within China; black box shows outline for inset. (b) Enlarged view of Guizhou Province and its Guizhou Gas Pipeline Network, with major cities for reference. (c) Number of pipeline km by start year (brown bars) and pipeline km in development within China (in-construction in red, proposed in yellow, shelved in blue).
  • Figures 5a,b were created in QGIS using GGIT pipeline data. Note for legibility that only a subset of pipelines is shown.
  • Figure 5c was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database within China's borders. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after. Hong Kong and Macao are considered part of China in this calculation.

Figure 6

Figure 6. (a) In-construction (yellow) and proposed (red) gas pipelines in India; the Jagdispu–Haldia–Bokaro–Dhamra Pipeline (JHBDPL) is shown as a dashed line. (b) Number of pipeline km by start year (brown bars) and pipeline km in development within India (inconstruction in red, proposed in yellow, shelved in blue).
  • Figure 6a was created in QGIS using GGIT pipeline data. Note for legibility that only a subset of pipelines is shown.
  • Figure 6b was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database within India's borders. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after.

Figure 7

Figure 7. (a) Major proposed and in-construction pipelines in Russia that, if built, would source gas from the Yamal Peninsula. (b) Number of pipeline km by start year (brown bars) and pipeline km in development within Russia (in-construction in red, proposed in yellow, shelved in blue).
  • Figure 7a was created in QGIS using GGIT pipeline data. Note for legibility that only a subset of pipelines is shown.
  • Figure 7b was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database within Russia's borders. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after.

Figure 8

Figure 8. (a) Australia’s existing pipeline network (brown), along with proposed (yellow) and in-construction (red) pipelines. Major gas basins mentioned in the Australian National Gas Infrastructure Plan (NGIP) are labelled, and the locations of two proposed LNG export terminals (Pluto LNG Terminal and Port Kembla FSRU) are shown. (b) Number of pipeline km by start year (brown bars) and pipeline km in development within Australia (in-construction in red, proposed in yellow, shelved in blue).
  • Figure 8a was created in QGIS using GGIT pipeline data. Note for legibility that only a subset of pipelines is shown.
  • Figure 8b was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database within Australia's borders. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after.

Figure 9

Figure 9. (a) Map of the U.S. showing a subset of major planned pipelines (proposed in yellow, in-construction in red); an approximate outline of the Appalachian Basin is included for reference. (b) Several major proposed and in-construction pipelines along the Appalachian Basin and in Maryland. (c) Number of pipeline km by start year (brown bars) and pipeline km in development within the U.S. (in-construction in red, proposed in yellow, shelved in blue).
  • Figures 9a,b were created in QGIS using GGIT pipeline data. Note for legibility that only a subset of pipelines is shown.
  • Figure 9c was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database within U.S. borders. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after.

Figure 10

Figure 10. (a) Proposed (yellow) and in-construction (red) gas pipelines in Brazil, with an approximate location of offshore gas basins along Brazil’s east coast. (b) Enlarged view of northeast Brazil, including in-development LNG terminals. (c) Enlarged view of Eastern Brazil, where offshore pipelines are proposed to source gas from offshore Basins. (d) Number of pipeline km by start year (brown bars) and pipeline km in development within Brazil. (in-construction in red, proposed in yellow, shelved in blue).
  • Figures 10a,b,c were created in QGIS using GGIT pipeline data. Note for legibility that only a subset of pipelines is shown.
  • Figure 10d was produced by summing the km of operating gas pipelines by start year in our database within Brazil's borders. The right-hand side was produced by summing the km of gas pipelines with a start year of 2022 and after.

Tables

Table 1

Region Proposed Construction In Development (Proposed + Construction)
East Asia 54.9 44.6 99.5
Sub-Saharan Africa 54.2 21.3 75.5
North America 48.9 20.0 68.9
Eurasia 45.3 18.3 63.6
Europe 44.2 15.8 60.0
Latin America and the Caribbean 31.8 1.5 33.3
Middle East and North Africa 12.9 12.8 25.7
South Asia 4.7 20.5 25.2
SE Asia 15.2 2.4 17.6
Australia and New Zealand 15.7 0.7 16.5
Total 327.8 158.0 485.8

Table 1. Estimated capital expenditures for in-development pipelines (Proposed, Construction, and their sum), in $US billion. Cost estimates were calculated using regional averages described in Figure 3 and Table M1 above.

Table 2

Region Proposed Construction Proposed + Construction
East Asia 32400 26,300 58,800
South Asia 4100 17,900 22,000
Europe 14800 5,300 20,100
Sub-Saharan Africa 14000 5500 19,600
Eurasia 11700 4,700 16,400
North America 9500 3,900 13,400
Australia and New Zealand 12400 600 12,900
Latin America and the Caribbean 11400 500 11,900
Middle East and North Africa 5000 5,000 10,000
SE Asia 7100 1,100 8,200
Total 122,500 70,900 193,400

Table 2. Regional total km of pipeline in development worldwide, rounded to the nearest hundred km (same data as shown in Figure 3).

Table 3

Parent Company Proposed Construction In Development (Proposed + Construction) Ownership Country
Gazprom 12113 3990 16103 Private / State Russia
PipeChina 8603 3935 12538 State China
Sinopec 1646 8730 10376 State China
GAIL (India) Limited 890 6918 7808 State India
Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation 4296 1427 5723 State Nigeria
China National Petroleum Corporation 942 3820 4762 State China
Transnet 3946 0 3946 State South Africa
Ministry of Petroleum of Iran 0 3780 3780 State Iran
Guizhou Wujiang Energy Group Co., Ltd. 0 3147 3147 State China
Moroccan National Board of Hydrocarbons and Mines 2830 0 2830 State Morocco
Transgaz 2673 90 2763 State Romania
Alaska Gasline Development Corporation 2760 0 2760 State USA
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. 237 2298 2535 State India
Turkmengaz 270 2136 2406 State Turkmenistan
Gujarat State Petronet 181 2108 2289 State India
TC Energy 732 1512 2244 State Canada
Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos de Mozambique 1950 0 1950 State Mozambique
Gaz-System 607 1309 1916 State Poland
Jiangsu Coastal Gas Pipeline Co., Ltd. 1903 0 1903 State China
Petrobras 1227 355 2620 State Brazil

Table 3. Top 20 gas pipeline developers in the world, sorted by km of in-development pipeline (third column) rounded to the nearest hundred km. Full Chinese character names for state-owned enterprises in China are: PipeChina, 国家石油天然气管网集团有限公司; Sinopec, 中国石油化工股份有限公司; CNPC, 中国 石油天然气集团公司; Guizhou Wujiang Energy Group Co., Ltd., 贵州乌江能源集团有限责任公司; Jiangsu Coastal Gas Pipeline Co., Ltd., 江苏省沿海输气管道公司

Table 4

Pipeline Status Capacity Length Associated LNG export terminal Terminal status
Construction
Columbia Gas Transmission Louisiana XPress Expansion Project Construction 493 MMcf/d Capacity expansion only Sabine Pass LNG Terminal Operating, expansion under construction
Corpus Christi Pipeline Expansion Project Construction 1530 MMcf/d 34 km Corpus Christi LNG Terminal Operating, expansion under construction
Gemini Gulf Coast Pipeline Construction 1500 MMcf/d 241 km
Golden Pass Gas Pipeline Construction 2500 MMcf/d 111 km Golden Pass LNG Terminal Construction
Gulf Run Pipeline Construction 1650 MMcf/d 216 km
TransCameron Pipeline Construction 1900 MMcf/d 39 km Calcasieu Pass LNG Terminal Construction
Proposed
Commonwealth LNG Pipeline Proposed 1440 MMcf/d 5 km Commonwealth LNG Terminal Proposed
CP Express Pipeline Proposed 4000 MMcf/d 147 km CP2 LNG Terminal Proposed
Delfin Offshore Pipeline Proposed 1500 MMcf/d 48 km Delfin LNG Terminal Proposed
Delta Express Pipeline Proposed 2050 MMcf/d 459 km Delta LNG Terminal Proposed
Driftwood LNG Pipeline Proposed 3500 MMcf/d 154 km Driftwood LNG Terminal Proposed
Driftwood LNG Pipeline Line 200 Expansion Proposed 2400 MMcf/d 60 km
Driftwood LNG Pipeline Line 300 Expansion Proposed 4600 MMcf/d 48 km
Freeport LNG Terminal Pipeline Proposed 740 MMcf/d 17 km Freeport LNG Terminal Partially operating, expansion proposed
Gator Express Gas Pipeline Proposed 1970 MMcf/d 43 km Plaquemines LNG Terminal Proposed
Evangeline Pass Gas Pipeline Proposed 1000 MMcf/d 21 km
Lake Charles LNG Pipeline Proposed 3100 MMcf/d 29 km Lake Charles LNG Terminal Proposed
Leidy South Pipeline Proposed 580 MMcf/d 20 km Cove Point LNG Terminal Operating
Magnolia Gas Pipeline Proposed 1362 MMcf/d 2 km Magnolia LNG Terminal Proposed
Port Arthur Gas Pipeline Proposed 2000 MMcf/d 266 km Port Arthur LNG Terminal Proposed
Rio Bravo Gas Pipeline Proposed 4500 MMcf/d 220 km Rio Grande LNG Terminal Proposed
West Delta LNG Pipeline Proposed 900 MMcf/d 32 km West Delta LNG Terminal Proposed
Total 2212

Table 4. Pipelines in development along the U.S. Gulf Coast, with associated LNG export infrastructure included where relevant. Pipeline capacity units are in million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d); length is rounded to the nearest whole km.